Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.010366 0.012374 0.014837 0.018139 0.022546 0.028369 0.036909
2025-07-27 0.007844 0.010148 0.013330 0.018242 0.026040 0.038785 0.063419
2025-08-03 0.006516 0.008872 0.012387 0.018376 0.029212 0.050337 0.103434
2025-08-10 0.005503 0.007753 0.011292 0.017760 0.030678 0.059760 0.153029
2025-08-17 0.004692 0.006767 0.010157 0.016672 0.030692 0.066127 0.207748
2025-08-24 0.004106 0.006039 0.009293 0.015824 0.030829 0.073063 0.285227
2025-08-31 0.003807 0.005728 0.009086 0.016190 0.033931 0.091699 0.506692
2025-09-07 0.003455 0.005279 0.008546 0.015716 0.034719 0.103832 0.788215
2025-09-14 0.003137 0.004849 0.007976 0.015040 0.034686 0.113206 1.183683
2025-09-21 0.002935 0.004604 0.007724 0.015031 0.036657 0.134914 2.415587
2025-09-28 0.002829 0.004517 0.007769 0.015742 0.041357 0.181042 9.887235
2025-10-05 0.002794 0.004557 0.008076 0.017208 0.049822 0.281029 1673.187067
2025-10-12 0.002666 0.004423 0.008036 0.017866 0.056414 0.411857 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002506 0.004213 0.007799 0.017932 0.060814 0.564655 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002369 0.004031 0.007602 0.018061 0.065876 0.807516 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002205 0.003780 0.007205 0.017460 0.066618 0.989620 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002034 0.003498 0.006702 0.016397 0.063971 1.051964 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001891 0.003266 0.006294 0.015567 0.062318 1.159763 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001824 0.003184 0.006240 0.015925 0.068789 1.933495 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001722 0.003022 0.005969 0.015462 0.069314 2.457581 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001620 0.002852 0.005661 0.014800 0.067945 2.832726 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001556 0.002759 0.005537 0.014792 0.071797 4.606614 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001526 0.002738 0.005595 0.015487 0.082728 14.334005 NaN